More accurately, my first March session, but I tend to back date my post-midnight sessions.
Well, quite an annoying slide lately. I feel pretty sure that I'm winner on Sklansky bucks during this stretch, though, so I feel like I'm fading it pretty well. Plus, we all get a nice reminder about why we follow bankroll rules as I drop 27% of my roll in just a couple weeks.
I hope I get OK rakeback...
(TT) That's a pretty good flop for TT, so I press the issue and take it down.
(K6h) I get myself into a position where I can only win by betting the river, and talk myself into doing so. It doesn't tell a good story, though, and was ultimately a mistake because of that. I don't mind firing a shell when it's your only way to win on the river, but that shell still has to make sense from your opponent's view, and your opponent has to have shown appropriate weakness during the hand. I had neither of those things going for me, and I should have tried to improvise on the river.
It's possible that psychologically I'm trying to play for big pots given my string of losses, and chasing more as a result. I'll have to watch out for that. No talking myself into odds I don't have. Here, I really did think the third player would come along on the flop--they usually do in these spots--and on the turn I was calling $2.10 to win $7.50, or 3.6:1. It was more like 4:1 in pot odds, but I can certainly make a value bet when I hit that will be called. The same show of aggression from my opponent that made bluffing the river wrong made calling the turn correct.
An orbit or so later, I flush my last $2 on top/second against top/top.
+$10
(K2c) A classic BB Special to ease the pain a bit, and the table collapses a few hands later.
$20 --> $16.77
43 Hands
In Jason's honor, some O8 to try and find some sugar before bed.
First hand.
Second hand. I am criticized for feeding the rake after my shove, then I take down 3/4 of the pot.
Fourth Hand has KK, but rainbow with no low, so I play it cautiously and mentally check/fold after a scary flop.
I should have made the three-cent hero fold on the river.
By the time he reraises, I know I'm up against the case 8 or a low draw (maybe both) but figure the boat outs I have are too good to fold for that price. Or at the very least, I'm too bad to fold for that price.
+$6
(AA93dd) Tough hand. I felt like I had to be beat high, and with only a runner-runner low, I had to fold. Villain shows me I was correct.AQQ6r)
Man, I have a ton of hands I grabbed, let's see which are interesting.
(AQQ6r) Top set turns into "can't be winning" as it happens so often in this game.
Fear of QF and rake-feeding has me flat calling with the nut low in these spots. Correct?
Ouch, I thought I was getting half here. QF goes high.
I flop a set of aces, but by the river a deuce and any other wheel card make the wheel, so I flat call the river and end up scooping.
(KKJ6ds) I flop the nuts but don't have a diamond draw so I go into protect mode.
I flop fool's quads, but have to check-fold to the apparent straight by the river.
I flop a set of aces and turn a boat with a nice AA43hh hand. No action on the turn from an underboat, unfortunately.
(AA82ds) 've been getting a lot of AALLss/ds this session, but lots just turn out like this.
(AT62hh) An incredibly nerve-wracking hand on my last orbit. Again, I fear the QF, but also feel like keeping it 3- or 4-way will help mitigate any quartering, so I keep flat calling to keep it multiway. Correct? Incorrect? I don't know how to play this game.
Bed.
$12 --> $11.03
120 Hands
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3 comments:
on the hand with "by the time he reraises" I do not like your pot size bet from the button. You have position here and your hand is really not that strong. You have trips and no low draw with a bet and a bunch of callers in front of you.
Remember, this is not like hold'em where you can make position bets, rep a strong hand and induce folds. People just don't fold in O8. Especially on the flop, maybe you have some fold equity on the turn but not on the flop. So the only purpose for raising from the button is to build the pot. You are likely just on a draw to your boat outs, with that many callers and a bettor someone has the case 8 more than likely.
On the AA93 hand, yes this is a very tough decision. Don't be totally convinced yet that you made the right move here. Yes, you were currently behind but you may have had enough pot equity to call. You have Aces up outs and low outs. Run it on the poker simulator and see if you made the right decision.
Top set then can't be winning. Be careful with tossing this hand. Villain may have A2xx or A3xx. The board looks very straighty but it is very likely that villain was chasing a low that got there. A fold is acceptable but I wouldn't have an objection to a crying call there either.
K253 hand. You have a made nut low on the turn. Pot it. Turn is where you have fold equity. Look at the high that you split with a 2 pair hand that got there on the river. You have "scoop" potential here with a pot size bet on the turn where you can win the whole pot with folds and not have to split with anyone.
I would likely pot it with the j9 on the turn when you have the nut straight. ROTty thinking would not have made any difference as villain had nut straight as well but thats how I would have played it.
On your nerve racking hand I like keeping it multiway as you likely have the only A2 on an unraised pot. I think the correct play, though I have never done it, is to put in a small raise on the turn so that everyone that is drawing to whatever they are drawing to has to pay a premium while you have a lock on the current nut low with only 6 reverse outs for a counterfeit.
I don’t know how to play this game, either, so I won’t weigh in on that. But this hand is just crazy. Kings full of 6s turning into Aces full of Kings. How often does THAT happen? Crazy nuts. Too bad nobody had any money to bet. I suppose you probably wouldn’t have gotten much outta people anyway, given what was in your hand.
I don't know the numbers but I am positive that the QF visits full tables a bunch more than short handed tables and even less so the short handed short handed tables (i.e. three handed).
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