O8 Time!
My first hand at the table, free flop. Oh, you troublesome flopped middle sets! There's $3.60 in by the turn, and of course I knew 9c was just a terrible card for me, adding another flush draw and handing "nut" status to KQ. Probe betting...a mistake? Should I have assumed KQ was out there, checked, and then folded to what would surely be a pot-sized bet from villain? By betting the $1.25 to "see where I was at," I ended up committing myself to the pot. There's $8.75 in there after his shove, and I know I'm behind KQ now, but I figure I'm between 20% and 25% to win, and for $2.65 I'm right on the edge of my odds. I call, and it works out for me this time. I manufactured my odds, though, and I think a better player doesn't bother with the probe bet on the turn.
$6 --> $11.65
5 Hands
Took a break to eat. I come back later and start at $6 again.
(As5s7hJc) I like how I played this hand. Not worth a raise but worth a limp with AXs wheel. I'm cautiously optimistic that I'm best on the flop, and I like the 2/3 pot bet to drive away lows before they catch a second low card on the turn and gain hope, and to not let any random hands catch up high for free. I can also easily bail to any "I have a set!" raises. The turn is ugly for me, and I check-fold correctly, but get to see that I was correct about being ahead on the flop.
I will bet pot until I'm all in preflop with any AAxy hand, where x is a wheel card and x or y is suited with one of the aces. I wasn't thrilled that x was a 4 in this case, obviously 2 is ideal, but it's the kind of hand that's just crushing the range others are willing to call with (KcQc3d2h? I mean rly. This is why O8 is so soft).
I can't believe I failed to v-bet my 72 low!
Yeah, this worked out OK. I went with the "push the $#@! nut low to the floor, quartering be damned!" theory, and it paid off huge. Again, no need to raise that preflop, the A2 is all I have going for me, but still want to see that flop. "lowball" pays me off with his second nut low and no high, and if that river had paired one of my hole cards, I scoop a monster.
And here's the classic O8 sixthing for low with A2 (and sixthing for high).
Do all the calls give me the pot odds to call with 6533 single-suited here? I decided not, but I'm not sure, it's probably close, again with the implied odds of getting called down by worse hands when I hit. I am also tightening up for the cruise to the finish line and don't want to get into trouble.
$6 --> $21.95
29 Hands
1 comment:
Hand 1: You don't know how much trouble I have fallen into online with "free hands" though I'm sure you can guess.
After running your hand through the patented Ryan Omaha-hand translator, second set converts roughly to second pair in Hold'em. One question is do you want to even bet it in the first place or wait to improve? You have a table full of limpers on a draw heavy board. What are the chances that second set will be the winning hand at the end? I don't know. You did end up straightening out on the Turn (albeit the you-know-what end) and if that holds up too then that's a bonus for your free hand. If the hand were checked on the flop and check called on the turn then I think you have enough pot/implied odds to proceed. Not saying that that is the correct play necessarily but I think that is the only way to make the math work.
On a side note, I think that Simon0302 could have been more aggressive with his atomic wrap straight. Sure you need to deduct some Diamonds but that is still a ton of outs and one of those hands that I think it's OK to bet hard all the way in Omaha based on likelihood of hitting and holding.
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