I'm trying not to over blog; just the real sessions wingers or interesting hands. I don't know if this is interesting, but it's a session swinger. I took a long time calling the pf limp-raise. Very rare move, people usually just bet their big hands. The sheer badness of 777YEYE compelled me to call despite figuring I was now against aces. 777 was calling everything pf with AFC, as he did here. I figured I was calling to draw when it got to me on the flop, but decided the odds were to juicy and went with it. The bad player giving me Expected Juicy Odds Value was why I was in to the flop to begin with.
God, all my sugar slips away to several shorthanded suckouts (5 outer) by this one villain. Then, naturally, he leaves. I build it back up, though, with the help of a favorite donator.
(QT97ds) Another big-swing hand. I had position and a hand with potential, and figured to be up against specifically a big pair, so I called, thinking I would have a good idea where I was at after a flop. The flop didn't hit me totally square, but I certainly rated to be beating an overpair unless it was KK33, but that was very unlikely. Assuming I was currently good, it wasn't by much, and if he has two random diamonds, I'm slightly behind, but I can't fold here.
It turns out I'm wrong about the overpair, but fears about random diamonds founded, and my 60% actual advantage holds up.
It dwindles to three-handed, and I bow out until the table fills again.
(KK52dd) Interesting hand. The first raise is from an unknown, so I give it some credit...UTG, could be aces, I have position, so let's play it cool, my kings don't have much backup. Flop is trip jacks, so now what? It's 50/50 the fourth jack is in hand somewhere, and that person isn't going to bet it if they have it. The original raiser puts in a turn bet...and I'm stymied. I don't have him on the J, but is it AA? I have to decide there if I'm going to call 3x that on the river. I decide that I will, but I get the check-raise from the obvious jack and fold.
(AA96dd) Aw hell.
Aces suck balls. Was going to quit when I was above $20, too.
I'm going to play it tough, not just donk this $5 stack off, but I'm done the second I'm above $8 or broke.
And how poetic, one last time, screwed by aces to cap the session. I'll grant that he had a built-in spainR, but man...
$8 --> $0
94 Hands
Probably made a buck in rakeback this session, at least. :P
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2 comments:
Ryan:
Looked at a couple cool hands. The this is interesting hand was interesting. I am glad the results worked in your favor. It would be interesting to run poker simulator on your hand vs AAxx hand vs. 4 random card hand. My guess is that you were not priced in, even with the megadonk, but I am glad the results worked out for you. You seemed to have your fair share of bad beats and unlucky suckouts by the villains.
On the JJJ flop I would have probably bet out the flop to see where I am at. Same result though as the J would either flat call an bet a later street or check raise there.
UTG raise with 777 from the villain. I forgot how bad the play can be at the lower levels. You will see some bad play at the higher stakes but nothing quite this bad.
I plan to update my blog on Sunday. It should have very detailed analysis on about 7 key hands I had in February. I will welcome your comments and hope you find it interesting.
I ran that simulation, and I had 30% equity. It was probably a bit better than that, because giving the donk "AFC" also included premium hands that he would have raised with.
It didn't feel like a great call when I made it, but really, 30% isn't bad in that spot.
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